Week 5: February 17-23

Week 5 began with the media commenting on Trump’s first press conference as president. Apparently the 77 chaotic minutes were a sight to behold.

The Russia story of the week revolved around White House aids circulating a peace plan being pushed by a pro-Russian politician in Ukraine that would allow for the U.S. to drop Russian sanctions. The Kremlin had to deny any knowledge of the plan. This is a good Who’s Who of the Russia connections in Trump’s orbit.

By week’s end, CNN reported that Reince Priebus had asked the FBI to publicly deny reports that the Trump campaign was in regular contact with senior Russian officials before the election. The FBI refused.

And David Leonhardt of the New York Times opines on five possible explanations for Trump’s Russophilia.

Trump named his new National Security Advisor, Lt General McMaster.

This bizarre story about Trump and Sweden shows how cavalier Trump is about foreign relations, as well as how he uses friendly cable news clips as facts to support his assertions, no matter how baseless those new clips are.

Trump’s Education and Justice Department reversed the Obama Administration’s policy that nondiscrimination laws allowed transgender students to use the bathroom of their choice in schools. What is interesting here is that Ed. Secretary Betsy DeVos was against the reversal but was overruled by Jeff Sessions. She was successful in adding language that says schools have an obligation to protect transgender students from bullying.

Finally, NASA announced the discover of seven exoplanets orbiting a red dwarf 40 light years away.

 

Week 4: February 10-16

Trump’s 4th week started with reporting on an uptick of deportations: New York Times story about an illegal immigrant who has been here since she was a teenager, has been checking in with immigration officials regularly for eight years, and was just deported; and this Washington Post story about increased ICE raids.

Michael Flynn resigned under a cloud, having been in contact with the Russian ambassador before Trump took office and lying about it. Here is conservative pundit Charles Krauthammer arguing that Flynn did nothing wrong other than lie, and he speculates why Flynn would lie if not to cover up for some larger scandal regarding Russia.

This New York Times story reports on growing concern in Congress about Trump’s Russia connections.

And here is the big New York Times story about the intelligence community leaking reports that there were repeated contacts between the Trump campaign and high Russian officials. Nate Silver says this is more smoke than fire at this point, but the fact that news organizations have dozens of reporters on this story, and the IC is leaking to them, shows that fire may eventually be uncovered.

More judges beyond the Ninth Circuit continued to find Trump’s immigration ban unconstitutional, in this Wall Street Journal report.

In this Wall Street Journal editorial, a good Who’s Who of the Trump White House, and a plea to centralize command (under Priebus) so that the administration can become more effective and less chaotic. And here is a Washington Post story about said chaos. And here is a good WaPo opinion piece by Michael Gerson about how no one is in charge in the White House.

Congressional Town Halls are in the news, with some Republicans holding contentious ones and others are refusing to even hold them. This National Review editorial urges Republicans to take the protests seriously, and compares the current protest movement to the Tea Party.

Finally, a disturbing report from the Wall Street Journal that spies in the Intelligence Community are withholding information from the Trump White House for fear that it will be leaked to Russia.

Why “Resist” might be the banner of the Trump opposition

Sometimes a writer comes along and explains a shift that is happening within you  that you were not fully conscious of until you read the piece. This happened to me last week.

From the election until last week, I was of the mindset that progressives and Democrats needed to tailor their Trump-era message and approach specifically to attract non-city voters, including the white working class that was drawn in by Trump’s message. I believed that we needed to emphasize an economic message over the usual liberal pieties that were nicely summed up by the Women’s March Unity Principles. I believed we needed to talk and campaign differently than the ways that just lost the last election–to go in a more Clintonian (Bill, not Hillary) political direction. To pitch a big tent. To reach out to people we disagree with. To tiptoe around sensitive cultural issues where we don’t see eye to eye with these “deplorables.”

While I still believe that to be necessary, the second week of the Trump presidency has made me realize that I was applying old thinking that no longer applies to the current political environment. Seeing the near-spontaneous protests erupt at the nation’s airports over Trump’s immigration ban from Muslim countries made me realize that there will be no tiptoeing around traditional Red-state/Blue-state issues because we are all–all of us–going to be sucked into a great maelstrom of Trump’s presidency. Pro-Trump and anti-Trump opposition will build, and alliances will be formed that will bear little resemblance to the old order. Also, I suspect that the anti-Trump opposition will have most of the country behind it before this is over.

Here are the key excerpts from the Ross Douthat column that made me realize this:

“So why the weekend frenzy, the screaming headlines, the surge of protest? Because of several features inherent to populism, which tend to undermine its attempts to govern no matter the on-paper popularity of its ideas.

First, populism finds its voice by pushing against the boundaries of acceptable opinion. But in the process it often embraces bigotries and extremisms that in turn color the reception of its policies….

Second, having campaigned against elites and experts and all their pomps and works, populists imagine that their zeal can carry all before it, that proceduralism and institutional knowledge are for losers and toadies and men with soft hands, and that a few guys in the White House can execute a major overhaul of a delicate system without bureaucratic patience or rhetorical finesse. … Then, finally, because populism thrives on its willingness to shatter norms, it tends to treat this chaos and blowback as a kind of vindication — a sign that it’s on the right track, that its boldness is meeting inevitable resistance from the failed orthodoxies of the past, and so on through a self-comforting litany. That makes it hard for populists to course correct, because they get stuck in a “the worse the better” loop, reassuring themselves that they’re making progress when actually they’re cratering.

Meanwhile, on the other side of the divide, the ascent of populism also creates an unusual level of solidarity among elites, who feel moved to resist on a scale that they wouldn’t if similar policies were pursued by normal political actors. Thus Trump, not even two weeks into his presidency, has already faced unusual pushback from the intelligence community, the Justice Department, the State Department and other regions of the bureaucracy, even as the media-entertainment complex unites against him on a scale unseen even in previous Republican administrations, and the Democratic Party is pressured into scorched-earth opposition before policy negotiations are even joined. These tensions ratcheted up over the weekend; it’s difficult to see how they ratchet down.

Before last week, I was uninterested in the calls to vote down Trump’s cabinet–because in normal politics a president should get to pick his team. Before last week, I was more interested in Democrats showing themselves willing to work with Trump–because in normal politics this is how you show yourself to be reasonable, and it is how you can get some of your party’s ideas into the other party’s legislation. But now it is clear that normal politics will be of little consequence no matter how carefully it is played–it will be overwhelmed by Trump’s actions. I now feel that “unusual level of solidarity” Douthat refers to, and I am ready to resist everything. Not because of policy, not because of political tactics. But because all that Trump stands for must be opposed on moral grounds. His vision of our country–its institutions and traditions and laws–is a hologram twisted through the lens of his narcissism. The policies of his administration, so far as we can now tell, will represent the anti-globalist, bigoted views of Steve Bannon. We can critique the policies and Bannon’s ideas as wrong and destructive in the same way we have always waged political arguments. But Trump’s mental state will take precedence over all–he will insist on it. And this is the smartest reason to resist him at every turn–because he will ultimately lose the entire country’s respect and support. Everyone, from the white working class to the transgender activist, will pile on. We might as well start now and get this over with. Resist. Reconciliation and cooperation can come later, after the boil is lanced from our politics and normal politics can resume. Let the message ring from every mountain top and every town hall: fuck this guy.

 

Week 3: February 3-9

After two weeks of stumbles, White House staff spoke to the New York Times about how they are adjusting their management structure to be more effective. This kind of behind-the-curtain, gossipy reporting–typically written about administrations in flux–does offer insights. The staff who go on record are tacitly admitting they have a mess to clean up, and promise changes. The staff who speak anonymously are usually trying to get their ideas and advice to the president through the papers, and sometimes trying to make rival staff look bad. This is true in this piece (poor Reince). Among many gems here, we learn that Trump watches cable news day and night and he is not happy about how he is seeing his administration depicted there. We also learn about the dynamic between chief advisors Bannon, Kushner and Priebus.

On Bill O’Reilly’s show, Trump once again made the argument that the US cannot criticize Putin’s Russia because we are not so innocent.

That comment, and the continuing fall out from the Immigration Executive Order spurred many conservative pro-Trump writers to explain why it is becoming harder and harder to defend the President. Even Joe Scarborough, who has regular private conversations with Trump, penned a mildly scolding history lesson about Soviet atrocities.

Finally, a federal appeals panel refused to allow Trump’s Immigration ban to continue. Here is a good analysis of the legal path forward for the ban. And here David French, who supports the ban, gives a scathing conservative critique of the Trump Administration’s roll out of the ban and its weak legal strategy to keep it alive.

Week 2: January 27-February 2

Trump signs an Executive Order that bars all refugees from Syria, and all people from 7 majority Muslim countries from entering the US. Because of the rushed nature of the order there is widespread confusion about who it affects, including people with duel citizenship, valid visas and green card holders: How Trump’s Rush to Enact an Immigration Ban Unleashed Global Chaos

Breaking with all precedent that has separated domestic political calculations from foreign policy and national security, Trump’s chief political advisor and strategist Steve Bannon is given a permanent seat on the National Security Council: Bannon Is Given Security Role Usually Held for Generals

Here is a good Washington Post survey of Bannon’s anti-globalist and anti-Muslim world view, based on many hours of tape from his Breitbart radio show.

Trump opens a diplomatic rift with Australia-a key military ally-on a phone call with Prime Minister Turnbull where he says “This was the worst call by far.” He was apparently set off by Turnbull requesting that Trump honor an agreement to resettle some refugees from Iraq and Iran that Australia is holding in camps. The situation in these camps are dire and are becoming a domestic and geopolitical problem for Australia. You can read about the miserable conditions of these camps, including suicides and murders, in this Roger Cohen piece.

The rift with Australia was so sever that Republicans in Congress, including John McCain, had to reach out to Australian diplomats to reassure them of American support and affinity: Congressional leaders scramble to reassure Australia after testy Trump phone call

Since the election the GOP has built up a steady momentum toward pulling the plug on Obamacare, but this may be the week that the health care law was put back on life support. Republicans in Congress are beginning to openly express the idea that they will not repeal it: G.O.P. Campaign to Repeal Obamacare Stalls on the Details. And conservative writers are sounding less triumphal than they were a couple weeks ago and more pleadingly desperate about a way forward, like in this Ramesh Ponnuru piece for National Review.

Finally, several writers laid down their markers about what kind of president Trump will be now that we’ve seen him on the job for a week and half. Elliot Cohen writes that “Precisely because the problem is one of temperament and character, it will not get better.” David Brooks predicts that Congressional Republicans will eventually have to side against Trump, calling him “a danger to the party and the nation in its existential nature. And so sooner or later all will have to choose what side they are on, and live forever after with the choice.” David Frum paints a dark picture of America in 2021 after a Trump has succeeded in building an autocracy. And Ross Douthat explains why Trump’s incompetence and populism’ s blindspots means he will fail to build much of anything except a unified resistance movement.

 

 

Week 1: January 20-26

In his first few minutes as president, Trump gave a dark Inaugural Address about “American Carnage.” Some conservative writers were not impressed: A Most Dreadful Inaugural Address

The next day he delivers a “a campaign-style, stream-of-consciousness airing of grievances” to members of the CIA in front of the hallowed Memorial Wall. Watch the full speech here.  Some intelligence officials were deeply offended.

In the face of Trump’s false claims about his crowd sizes and millions of people who voted illegally, the news media struggles with Calling a Lie a Lie , as explained in this survey of Trump un-thruths by Dan Barry.

The “biggest diplomatic rift between the U.S. and Mexico in decades” erupts when the President of Mexico cancels a planned trip to meet Trump after Trump again insists that Mexico will be coerced through trade policy to pay for the boarder wall.